Documents released as part of a Senate Intelligence Committee investigation show that the Bush administration was warned by U.S. intelligence analysts about the challenges it now faces as it tries to stabilize Iraq.
They don't believe these realities when it's right in front of their eyes, why would they have believed a report that objected to their forgone conclusions.....
Highlights from the reports;
_ Establishing a stable democracy in Iraq would be a long, steep and
probably turbulent challenge. They said that contributions could be made from 4
million Iraqi exiles and Iraq's impoverished, underemployed middle class. But
they noted that opposition parties would need sustained economic, political and
military support.
_ Al-Qaida would see the invasion as a chance to accelerate
its attacks, and the lines between al-Qaida and other terrorist groups "could
become blurred." In a weak spot in the analysis, one paper said that the risk of
terror attacks would spike after the invasion and slow over the next three to
five years. However, the State Department recently found that attacks last year
alone rose sharply.
_ Domestic groups in Iraq's deeply divided society would
become violent, unless stopped by the occupying force. "Score settling would
occur throughout Iraq between those associated with Saddam's regime and those
who have suffered most under it."
_ Iraq's neighbors would jockey for
influence and Iranian leaders would try to shape the post-Saddam era to
demonstrate Tehran's importance in the region. The more Tehran didn't feel
threatened by U.S. actions, the analysts said, "the better the chance that they
could cooperate in the postwar period."
_ Military action to eliminate Iraq's
weapons of mass destruction would not cause other governments in the region to
give up such programs.
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